Working Papers


  • "Neoclassical Growth in an Interdependent World" (joint with Benny Kleinman, Ernest Liu and Motohiro Yogo), revise and resubmit, American Economic Review, NBER Working Paper, 31951, January 2024. [PDF] [Online Appendix] [Presentation] [VoxEU Article] [Becker Friedman Research Brief]

  • "International Trade in an Uncertain World" (joint with Benny Kleinman and Ernest Liu), June 2025. [PDF]

  • "Slavery and the British Industrial Revolution" (joint with Stephan Heblich and Joachim Voth), revise and resubmit, Review of Economic Studies, and NBER Working Paper, 30451, August 2023. [PDF] [Online Appendix] [Online Supplement] [Trade Talks Podcast] [Vox Talks Podcast] [CEP Centerpiece] [Economist Graphic Detail] [Global Echo]

  • "The Distributional Consequences of Trade: Evidence from the Grain Invasion" (joint with Stephan Heblich and Yanos Zylberberg), revise and resubmit, Journal of Political Economy, and NBER Working Paper, 32958, February 2025. [PDF] [Online Appendix] [Presentation] [VoxEU]

  • "Neighborhood Effects: Evidence from Wartime Destruction in London" (joint with Daniel Sturm), reject and resubmit, Review of Economic Studies, and NBER Working Paper, 32333, July 2024. [PDF] [Online Appendix] [Presentation]

  • "Evaluating Transport Improvements in Spatial Equilibrium," NBER Working Paper, 33532, commissioned for the Advances in Economics and Econometrics monograph for the World Congress of the Econometric Society in South Korea in 2025, August 2025. [PDF] [Appendix]

  • "Accommodating Emerging Giants in the Global Economy" (joint with Zhuokai Huang, Benny Kleinman and Ernest Liu), paper prepared for the IMF Economic Review for the Annual Jacques Polak Conference of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), August 2025. [PDF]

  • "Structural Change Within Versus Across Firms: Evidence from the United States" (joint with Xiang Ding, Teresa Fort and Peter Schott), NBER Working Paper, 30127, June 2022. [PDF] [Online Appendix] [VoxEU]


Background Technical Papers


  • "Aggregation and Estimation of Constant Elasticity of Substitution (CES) Preferences" (joint with David Weinstein), September 2023. [PDF] [Online Appendix]


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